Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.801231 2.048532 2.319992 2.640500 3.009125 3.420446 3.915080
2025-11-23 1.433168 1.757531 2.143343 2.637760 3.256966 4.009973 4.999896
2025-11-30 1.250115 1.631615 2.116694 2.782638 3.679251 4.853202 6.520821
2025-12-07 1.090036 1.498928 2.048859 2.849330 3.996034 5.596523 8.029429
2025-12-14 0.941835 1.353912 1.935329 2.825331 4.170743 6.156457 9.360913
2025-12-21 0.808326 1.207398 1.794342 2.733168 4.221063 6.528334 10.455729
2025-12-28 0.751630 1.164335 1.795824 2.849364 4.596940 7.440109 12.539035
2026-01-04 0.700344 1.121469 1.789560 2.948178 4.952784 8.362999 14.785511
2026-01-11 0.649261 1.071618 1.764196 3.008857 5.247959 9.218635 17.047440
2026-01-18 0.601901 1.021642 1.731363 3.049897 5.510096 10.046808 19.388737
2026-01-25 0.544537 0.947665 1.648266 2.989317 5.575449 10.516731 21.103627
2026-02-01 0.484004 0.861399 1.533652 2.855581 5.482159 10.665467 22.181521
2026-02-08 0.442968 0.807598 1.474614 2.825067 5.596920 11.263304 24.364708
2026-02-15 0.404006 0.753634 1.409612 2.775301 5.667280 11.783939 26.484445
2026-02-22 0.390527 0.746644 1.433276 2.906579 6.134008 13.218494 30.983910
2026-03-01 0.370195 0.723955 1.423386 2.966614 6.455301 14.383286 35.072484
2026-03-08 0.342851 0.684266 1.374751 2.937221 6.571919 15.097231 38.174689
2026-03-15 0.311975 0.634183 1.299303 2.839276 6.516194 15.393636 40.246313
2026-03-22 0.303277 0.629655 1.319461 2.959477 6.995428 17.073676 46.421719
2026-03-29 0.293525 0.621801 1.331431 3.062012 7.446615 18.758211 52.984382
2026-04-05 0.281342 0.607343 1.327130 3.125037 7.807377 20.266927 59.371708
2026-04-12 0.268593 0.590327 1.315176 3.167703 8.121551 21.702964 65.867628
2026-04-19 0.249781 0.557656 1.263630 3.104569 8.143327 22.326627 69.923658